The Times has Obama up nine in Florida, ten in Ohio, 12 in Pennsylvania.
A national Bloomberg poll has Obama up six. 50 percent unfavorables for Romney.
Then there’s Nate Silver, who puts Obama’s odds of winning at 80 percent.
Might be a quirk, but our Obama forecast has increased by 7% (80% chance of winning the EC from 73%) since Romney’s 47% comments came out.— Nate Silver (@fivethirtyeight) September 26, 2012
But all of this is wrong because sampling.